Category : General News

Voodoo the Hoodoo

Here is more voodoo math for your holiday reading pleasure.

In Norway, a couple of guys decided to study 16,932 men who smoked pipes and cigarettes to determine if pipes were less hazardous than cigarettes.

Their conclusion is that pipes are indeed just as deadly as cigarettes.

And how did they come to this conclusion?

I am glad you asked.

Okay, hang on, now, this is going to get bumpy because the voodoo becomes a hoodoo!

First, you take your 16,932 men who are between the ages of 20 to 49. In the test, they are screened for cardiovascular disease risk factors. The test starts in the mid-1970s, and then the men are re-screened after 3–13 years, and followed throughout 2007.

You still with me?

Over that length of time, some 403,327 years (start the voodoo math here)  4,933 of the men die. Now, the two Norway guys claim that there is only a difference of 1.9 percent in the deaths of pipe smokers and cigarette smokers when balanced against non-smokers. Hoodoo here.

Hmmm. That is the the Norway voodoo hoodoo way of looking at it.

My math goes like this: if you have 16,932 men smoking pipes and you rack up 403,327 years with the briar and only 4,933 of them die, that is a little over 81 deaths per year.

Hell, that’s lower than natural mortality. You have that many years to die and surely you can get more than 4,933 to drop off the planet! Whooooboy, that’s some voodoo. I’ve not seen the likes of that since I visited Madam Trudeaux in New Orleans and she conjured up this really beautiful blond from the backside. Front side was missing teeth and such.

Uh, in the meantime, I rest my case.

You can see the dumbfounding study at  Tobacco Control

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Now, Here’s a Snappy Read

For those who might have thoughts the FDA was kidding about surveilling tobacco products, here is something in black and white for your reading pleasure:

The Food and Drug Administration (FDA) intends to award contracts to State Agencies to assist in inspecting retail establishments that sell cigarettes and/or smokeless tobacco products and in surveillance of other entities that fall under the scope of the provisions that will be cited in the request for proposal (RFP).

You can find other enjoyable reading at the FDA’s BizOpps page.

And, uh, oh, yes, if you would like to be a surveillance cop for the Tobacco Police, you can also register at the site above.

Happy reading!

Your Vote Counts

As if you need to be told: Please vote in this mid-term election. Your vote counts, and don’t think it doesn’t.

Although tobacco may not be directly listed on the ballots inside the voting booth, it will be there in the presence of those you decide to either put into office or throw out.

By now, I hope you have done your due diligence and know tobacco’s friends and enemies in your state. Vote your choice, but remember, your vote may be the one that tosses the bum who would take away your privilege of smoking your favorite tobacco.

This is not a time for pipe smokers, or smokers in general, to sit on the sidelines. I think we have seen how the Tea Party has energized America. Whether or not you agree with the Tea Party is not the concern. I don’t necessarily agree with everything they stand for, but then, I know that many of their members would not agree with me. That makes the world whirl.

We have an opportunity on Tuesday to make a loud noise. I hope we do. I for one want to be able to enjoy my beloved pipe tobacco and to expect to pay a reasonable price. What we have going on today is not reasonable.

I am sick and tired of politicians balancing the books on the backs of those who can ill afford it, on Seniors (no Social Security cost-of-living raise again this year), and smokers in general. It is shameful.

All you have to do is read your daily newspaper to see how our so-called friends in Pakistan and Afghanistan spend your tax dollars. It is outrageous. I am a veteran and I want our troops protected with everything we have. I do not like the way we put money up for Afghans to spend it freely when we need the money so badly here. That is another story for another time.

Vote! It is important. The tobacco you save may be your own!

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Tobacco Party, Anyone?

Well, here is a novel idea from Bruce Bartlett. He thinks we should tax such things as tobacco and alcohol, the so-called sin tax scheme.

One quick note: sin is in the eye of the beholder. My sin may not be your sin, if you get the drift.

Bartlett’s bona fides are legit. He  is a columnist for The Fiscal Times, an online newspaper covering the economy, business and personal finance; and for Tax Notes, a weekly magazine for tax policymakers and practitioners. He was previously a columnist forForbes Magazine and Creators Syndicate.

But, I gotta laugh. Bartlett’s conclusion is that those who are sinning must pay for their sins. Plumb biblical, if you ask me. Then, again, he didn’t ask me.

However, in today’s world of constant news hours, my opinion is almost as good as his. Theoretically, that is.

Anyway, tobacco smokers are already paying for their sins, while local, state and federal governments want to continue that trend upwards.

Here is what Bartlett concluded in a recent edition of his Capital gains and Games blog:

Perhaps the lesson to be drawn from the historical experience is that prohibiting nonviolent activities and substances that people are going to insist on doing or using anyway will never stamp them out. But if they are legalized, controlled, and taxed, society may be able to keep them within acceptable bounds while raising significant government revenue exclusively on the backs of those who insist on engaging in the behavior. That’s about as close to a win-win situation as one is going to find in the public policy arena.

The fact is, taxes on tobacco have increased from $3,631,728 in 1997 to $15,834,746 in 2007, the latest figures from the Tax Policy Center, which is a joint venture of the Urban Institute andBrookings Institution. The Center is made up of nationally recognized experts in tax, budget, and social policy who have served at the highest levels of government.

In other words, those who smoke are paying through the nose for their “sin” already. And yet, Congress wants more, which is odd when you think about it. The feds say that smoking is harmful to your health, but is quite willing to take your tax money while trying to prevent you from smoking.

Yeah, that makes sense.

The federal government is balancing budgets and funding many programs through a program it wants to kill off. Huh?

And, now for a real eye-opener. So you like to have a little toddy after your evening meal. You buy a nice bottle of, say, single malt Scotch (my favorite beverage anytime of the day, actually). You pay taxes on that fine bottle, right?

National Alcohol taxes in 1997, according to that same Tax Policy Center, amounted to $2,263,512 and $5,626,187 in 2007.

You getting the picture, yet?

Mind you, these tobacco tax increases are coming at a time of a down economy and at a historic period when the ratio of debt to family income is almost 15 percent.

We are not through just yet with the tax talk.

Get this, the TPC, estimates that 45 percent of households will owe no federal income tax in 2010 and that more than 90 percent of them will get government payments through refundable tax credits. Most nonpayers have relatively low income: Six in 10 make less than $20,000.

More than two-thirds of people who pay no income tax do pay Medicare and Social Security payroll taxes and about half owe payroll taxes that exceed their refundable tax credits. Counting income plus payroll tax liabilities, less than a quarter owe no tax.

I know. Your eyes are crossing just about now.

Here is the skinny: tobacco users are being outrageously punished and paying more than their fair share of excise taxes already as seen above. Many of them fit into the category of making so little money, they pay no income tax to the federal government.

It does not take a financial wizard to see that these “social engineered” taxes are hitting those who are small in the wallet.

What we need is a good Tobacco Party in the political arena. If the Tea Party folks can make a difference, why not a Tobacco Party?

Won’t happen, I know. But, it is a nice thought.

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C&D Interview

Hey, just thought you might like to see where our friends at Cornell & Diehl, the best little tobacco manufacturer in North Carolina, has gotten some good pubs at PipesMagazine.com

Craig Tarler, the Maestro of Tobacco, is quoted in a long question and answer interview. You might be interested in what he has to say about future trends as he sees it from his end of things.

You can find the interview and a very good video on the C&D operation here